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Faulty Claim About ‘Biden-Only’ Ballots in Georgia

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Campaign officers for President Donald Trump and supporters have promoted the defective declare that Joe Biden obtained almost 100,000 votes in Georgia via ballots that solely included picks for president, suggesting it’s “suspicious.” But the declare ignores that some voters don’t vote a straight-party poll.

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Social media posts unfold by Trump marketing campaign officers counsel that voter fraud might have occurred in Georgia, primarily based on the declare that President-elect Joe Biden secured almost 100,000 votes via ballots that have been “ONLY” forged for Biden — and never for any candidates in different races.

But that declare rests on a flawed evaluation of vote tallies.

The declare has nonetheless been handed alongside by hundreds via varied social media posts in latest days.

“Nothing suspicious about this at all!” one in all President Donald Trump’s sons, Donald Trump Jr., wrote with a retweet of a submit spreading the declare. Both tweets have since been deleted.

In Georgia, ballots where the voter ONLY voted for President: • Trump: 818 • Biden: 95,801,” the submit learn. The tweet got here from an account utilizing the identify “Sarah Hucklebee” that was made to seem like an account for former White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders.

The declare was put ahead in a Nov. 10 video by Steve Cortes, a Trump marketing campaign adviser, by which he outlined what he deemed a “statistical case” demanding additional “investigation.”

“Biden, though, a 95,000 vote differential — there were almost 96,000 people in Georgia, allegedly, who voted Biden-only and then did not vote for Senate,” he stated within the video. “That seems far too wide to be believable.”

We don’t know what number of voters solely voted for Biden, however Cortes’ quantity doesn’t signify that.

Instead, the determine refers to the truth that Biden gained nearly 100,000 extra votes in Georgia than Democratic Senate candidate Jon Ossoff. But it’s defective to imagine that every one of these votes will need to have been on ballots for Biden solely, ignoring that some voters within the state chosen Biden for president however didn’t adhere to a strictly party-line vote for the Senate.

As of early Nov. 12, there have been 4,992,420 votes counted within the presidential race in Georgia. While the entire variety of votes fluctuates throughout different races — since, certainly, some folks don’t forged a vote for each race — there have been 4,945,792 votes counted within the Senate race between Republican Sen. David Perdue and Ossoff.

That’s a distinction of 46,628 complete votes — or nearly half of what’s being alleged within the viral posts.

The conservative National Review’s Dan McLaughlin stated the distinction between the entire votes forged for the presidential race and the Perdue-Ossoff contest renders “the 95,000 number … mathematically impossible.”

McLaughlin additionally identified that one might look to the election in Maine — the place Republican Sen. Susan Collins obtained 55,468 extra votes than Trump as of Nov. 12.

That “means that some voters went for Biden and Collins, as voters have been doing as long as there have been elections,” McLaughlin wrote, later including: “Split-ticket voting is not fraud, and there is nothing unusual about it.”

Barry Burden, director of the Elections Research Center on the University of Wisconsin-Madison, informed us in an e-mail that it’s “difficult to assess the accuracy of the factual claims being made” about “Biden-only” ballots.

“How do these folks know how many voters selected Biden or Trump for president but skipped the Senate race?” he stated. “Knowing that would require individual-level information from ballots, not aggregation information about ballots cast in each race.”

Burden additionally stated it’s frequent that voters “choose a candidate at the top of the ballot and then ‘roll off’ as they move down the ballot. There is nothing suspicious about lower participation in lower level races.”

And “even in an era of strong partisanship, some voters split their tickets. That is precisely why aggregate totals can be deceptive when trying to reach conclusions about individual voter behavior.”

Gabriel Sterling, Georgia’s voting system implementation supervisor, made word of many citizens straying from party-line votes throughout a press convention on Nov. 9.

“The other thing we’ve discovered is, from our initial assessment, there was a lot of ticket-splitting going on,” he stated.

Biden’s lead in Georgia stood at about 14,000 votes on Nov. 12. Georgia’s secretary of state has introduced the state will conduct a hand recount of the presidential race.

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