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Politics Podcast: National And District-Level Polls Disagree About How Close The 2020 Election Is

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Our nationwide polling common reveals Joe Biden with a couple of 10 level lead nationally, whereas the state-level polls counsel his lead is nearer to eight factors. Meanwhile, some latest polling in congressional districts has proven margins for Biden that might counsel he’s main nationally by much more than 10 factors. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver talks to Galen Druke about why these polls are displaying totally different levels of competitiveness. They additionally reply questions from listeners, together with: How lengthy did it take to construct the forecast? And, what’s the probability of a Georgia runoff deciding management of the Senate?

You can hearken to the episode by clicking the “play” button within the audio participant above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favourite podcast platform. If you might be new to podcasts, learn to pay attention.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is recorded Mondays and Thursdays. Help new listeners uncover the present by leaving us a ranking and assessment on iTunes. Have a remark, query or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in contact by e-mail, on Twitter or within the feedback.

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