This month, for the primary time since April, our tracker of public opinion across the coronavirus reveals that the share of Americans who say they’re “very” involved that they or somebody they know will turn out to be contaminated with COVID-19 is increased than the share who say they’re “somewhat” involved.
That rise in concern is comprehensible, too, when you think about the spike in new coronavirus circumstances that started in mid-June, particularly within the South and West. Just this previous week, California, Florida and Texas, together with a handful of different states, noticed report spikes in fatalities.
And the truth that the geography of the virus is altering — it’s not simply a blue-state virus — might imply behaviors and political attitudes are shifting as soon as once more. To be clear, there are nonetheless deep political divides in how involved individuals are in regards to the virus, however there are additionally some indicators that Republicans could also be rising extra involved.
For instance, as many states began lifting restrictions in April, the share of Republicans who stated they had been staying at home declined, whereas the share of Democrats saying they had been staying put remained roughly the identical. As you may see within the chart under, the share of Republicans who reported staying home as a lot as potential has ticked up by at the least 10 factors for the reason that begin of July. The newest ballot from YouGov/Huffpost to ask this query did, nonetheless, additionally present a decline of four proportion factors from the earlier week, so it’s potential that the modifications in Republican conduct may very well be plateauing — or declining once more.
The YouGov/Huffpost polls present elevated help for coronavirus-related restrictions, too. In early June, solely 23 p.c of Americans stated there weren’t sufficient restrictions the place they lived, however within the newest ballot, that quantity had grown by 14 proportion factors to 37 p.c. That consists of a rise of greater than 10 factors in each area besides the Northeast, the place the coronavirus’s unfold has slowed down. And the share of Republicans who imagine there usually are not sufficient restrictions, whereas nonetheless comparatively small, has doubled from 10 p.c in early June to over 20 p.c in late July.
These shifts are small, as Republicans nonetheless lag behind Democrats on each of those metrics. But it’s important as a result of it comes at a time when public approval of the federal government’s dealing with of the pandemic has fallen to new lows.
According to our tracker, Trump’s approval ranking on his response to the disaster has steadily declined since April. That even consists of Republicans, whose approval of how he’s dealing with the disaster, whereas nonetheless excessive at 78 p.c, has declined roughly 5 proportion factors since mid-June, when circumstances started spiking.
To ensure, Democrats are nonetheless extra involved in regards to the coronavirus than Republicans, however that uptick in our tracker isn’t being pushed by simply Democrats. Republicans are additionally exhibiting indicators of elevated concern across the virus. Some of which may be as a result of because the virus spreads to totally different components of the nation, extra Republicans are coming into contact with it, which can change their perceptions of it. Take what an Ipsos/Axios ballot just lately discovered. While solely 35 p.c of Republicans who had no private expertise with the virus stated they’re both “very” or “somewhat” involved about COVID-19, concern over the coronavirus rose to 51 p.c amongst Republicans who knew somebody who died from it. Additionally, greater than half of Republicans who knew somebody who died from the virus stated they at all times wore a masks, whereas solely 38 p.c of those that had no private expertise with the virus stated they at all times wore a masks.
And maybe that nuance underscores one thing Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux wrote about for FiveThirtyEight earlier this month. Republicans and Democrats are divided on how they see the virus. But they’re much less divided on the precise steps they’ll take to remain protected — whether or not that’s social distancing, making an attempt to remain home extra or carrying masks in public locations. It’s potential that partisan opinion on the coronavirus isn’t totally baked in — but.
Other Polling Bites
- 65 p.c of American adults stated that they supported the protests which have taken place across the nation following the police killing of George Floyd, in response to a Gallup ballot performed between June and July. Fifty-four p.c stated that the protests have modified their views on racial justice both “a little” or “a lot,” and 11 p.c reported personally collaborating in a protest about racial justice and equality within the earlier month.
- On Wednesday, the CEOs of Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook testified in an antitrust listening to within the House of Representatives. And in response to a latest IBD/TIPP ballot, many Americans appear supportive of breaking apart these huge tech corporations. When requested about every firm by itself, 60 p.c of Americans stated they both “somewhat” or “strongly” supported breaking apart Google, 58 p.c stated the identical of Amazon, 57 p.c stated the identical of Facebook, and 55 p.c stated the identical of Apple. This is a rise from a yr in the past, when a earlier IBD/TIPP ballot discovered 48 p.c of Americans supported breaking apart Facebook, 45 p.c supported breaking apart Amazon, 43 p.c supported breaking apart Google, and solely 36 p.c stated they supported breaking apart Apple.
- According to a latest survey performed by the Pew Research Center, 80 p.c of American mother and father who’ve a baby 11 or youthful stated their youngster watches movies on YouTube.
- Another ballot from Pew discovered that lesser-educated Americans had been more likely to imagine the conspiracy idea that the coronavirus outbreak was deliberately deliberate by highly effective individuals. Forty-eight p.c of these with a highschool training or much less and 38 p.c of these with some faculty training stated this idea was both “probably” or “definitely” true, whereas a few quarter of school graduates and solely 15 p.c of these with postgraduate training stated the identical.
- According to a brand new Ipsos/Newsy ballot, Americans have a wide range of issues in regards to the upcoming elections. Seventy-nine p.c had been involved in regards to the impression of COVID-19, 71 p.c had been involved in regards to the impression of pretend information, 63 p.c had been involved about overseas interference, 63 p.c had been fearful about vote suppression, 58 p.c had been troubled by voter fraud, and 54 p.c expressed concern about mail-in-ballot fraud.
- A brand new Gallup survey discovered that 34 p.c of Americans recognized as politically “conservative” in May and June, down from 40 p.c in January and February. And amongst these with incomes of over $100,000 or between 35 and 54 years previous, the share who recognized as conservative fell by 11 and 10 proportion factors, respectively. Meanwhile, the share of people that stated they had been “liberal” rose 4 factors, from 22 p.c at first of the yr to 26 p.c in May and June. Gallup has tracked these numbers since at the least 1992.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s presidential approval tracker, 40.6 p.c of Americans approve of the job Trump is doing as president, whereas 55.1 p.c disapprove (a internet approval ranking of -14.5 factors). At this time final week, 40.three p.c authorised and 55.6 p.c disapproved (a internet approval ranking of -15.three factors). One month in the past, Trump had an approval ranking of 40.three p.c and a disapproval ranking of 56.four p.c, for a internet approval ranking of -16.1 factors.
In our common of polls of the generic congressional poll, Democrats at the moment lead by 8.three proportion factors (49.1 p.c to 40.Eight p.c). Every week in the past, Democrats led Republicans by 8.2 factors (49.four p.c to 41.2 p.c). At this time final month, voters most well-liked Democrats by 9 factors (49 p.c to 40 p.c).
Check out all of the polls we’ve been gathering forward of the 2020 elections.